Many entrepreneurs have lived this moment: a new hire crushes their first few weeks, a vendor’s first shipment comes back flawless, or a piece of software sails through every test you throw at it. You relax. You hand over more responsibility. You stop watching as closely. Cognitive scientist Gary Marcus, professor emeritus at NYU and an entrepreneur in his own right, has spent decades studying why that instinct gets smart people in trouble. In his conversation at the World Science Festival, which you can watch below, he shares a story that captures the problem. In the early days of self-driving …
Gary Marcus on Small Samples: Why Early Success Fools Smart People